NFL 2013 Season Week 4 Picks

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49ers 35 @ Rams 11
Final
Thu, 9/26/13 7:25pm
14 Picks - 88% 2 Picks - 12%
49ers
49ers
49ers
49ers
49ers
49ers
49ers
49ers
Seahawks 23 @ Texans 20
final overtime
Sun, 9/29/13 12:00pm
12 Picks - 75% 4 Picks - 25%
Seahawks
Seahawks
Seahawks
Seahawks
Seahawks
Seahawks
Seahawks
Seahawks
Giants 7 @ Chiefs 31
Final
Sun, 9/29/13 12:00pm
1 Pick - 6% 15 Picks - 94%
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Cardinals 13 @ Buccaneers 10
Final
Sun, 9/29/13 12:00pm
9 Picks - 56% 7 Picks - 44%
Buccaneers
Buccaneers
Cardinals
Cardinals
Cardinals
Cardinals
Buccaneers
Buccaneers
Colts 37 @ Jaguars 3
Final
Sun, 9/29/13 12:00pm
16 Picks - 100% 0 Picks - 0%
Colts
Colts
Colts
Colts
Colts
Colts
Colts
Colts
Steelers 27 @ Vikings 34
Final
Sun, 9/29/13 12:00pm
7 Picks - 44% 9 Picks - 56%
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Bengals 6 @ Browns 17
Final
Sun, 9/29/13 12:00pm
16 Picks - 100% 0 Picks - 0%
Bengals
Bengals
Bengals
Bengals
Bengals
Bengals
Bengals
Bengals
Ravens 20 @ Bills 23
Final
Sun, 9/29/13 12:00pm
15 Picks - 94% 1 Pick - 6%
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Bears 32 @ Lions 40
Final
Sun, 9/29/13 12:00pm
10 Picks - 63% 6 Picks - 37%
Bears
Bears
Bears
Bears
Bears
Bears
Bears
Bears
Jets 13 @ Titans 38
Final
Sun, 9/29/13 3:05pm
3 Picks - 19% 13 Picks - 81%
Titans
Titans
Titans
Titans
Titans
Titans
Titans
Titans
Commanders 24 @ Raiders 14
Final
Sun, 9/29/13 3:25pm
11 Picks - 69% 5 Picks - 31%
Commanders
Commanders
Commanders
Commanders
Commanders
Commanders
Raiders
Raiders
Eagles 20 @ Broncos 52
Final
Sun, 9/29/13 3:25pm
1 Pick - 6% 15 Picks - 94%
Broncos
Broncos
Broncos
Broncos
Broncos
Broncos
Broncos
Broncos
Cowboys 21 @ Chargers 30
Final
Sun, 9/29/13 3:25pm
14 Picks - 88% 2 Picks - 12%
Chargers
Chargers
Cowboys
Cowboys
Cowboys
Cowboys
Cowboys
Cowboys
Patriots 30 @ Falcons 23
Final
Sun, 9/29/13 7:30pm
9 Picks - 56% 7 Picks - 44%
Falcons
Falcons
Falcons
Falcons
Falcons
Falcons
Patriots
Patriots
Dolphins 17 @ Saints 38
Final
Mon, 9/30/13 7:40pm
4 Picks - 25% 12 Picks - 75%
Saints
Saints
Dolphins
Dolphins
Saints
Saints
Saints
Saints
Week Record10 - 5
0.667
9 - 6
0.600
10 - 5
0.667
9 - 6
0.600
Season Record39 - 24
0.619
38 - 25
0.603
42 - 21
0.667
41 - 22
0.651
Scotttime Record1205 - 725
0.624
1166 - 764
0.604
1203 - 727
0.623
1225 - 705
0.635
No-Pack-Vike Record3419 - 1974
0.634
3333 - 2060
0.618
3437 - 1956
0.637
3336 - 2057
0.619
Lifetime Record1882 - 1115
0.628
1777 - 1220
0.593
1873 - 1124
0.625
1884 - 1113
0.629
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Other Nut Canner Picks
scott.jpg
49ers
Texans
Chiefs
Cardinals
Colts
Steelers
Bengals
Ravens
Lions
Titans
Commanders
Broncos
Chargers
Patriots
Saints

Week:11 - 4
0.733
Season:42 - 21
0.667
Lifetime:1227 - 697
0.638
2887.gif
49ers
Seahawks
Chiefs
Buccaneers
Colts
Vikings
Bengals
Bills
Lions
Titans
Raiders
Broncos
Cowboys
Patriots
Saints

Week:11 - 4
0.733
Season:46 - 17
0.730
Lifetime:1201 - 727
0.623
goodlooking.jpg
49ers
Texans
Chiefs
Buccaneers
Colts
Steelers
Bengals
Ravens
Lions
Titans
Raiders
Broncos
Cowboys
Patriots
Saints

Week:8 - 7
0.533
Season:20 - 12
0.625
Lifetime:988 - 666
0.597
image.jpeg
49ers
Texans
Chiefs
Buccaneers
Colts
Steelers
Bengals
Ravens
Lions
Jets
Raiders
Broncos
Cowboys
Falcons
Saints

Week:6 - 9
0.400
Season:34 - 29
0.540
Lifetime:476 - 302
0.612
FB_IMG_1499398490950.jpg
49ers
Seahawks
Chiefs
Buccaneers
Colts
Vikings
Bengals
Ravens
Lions
Titans
Commanders
Eagles
Cowboys
Patriots
Saints

Week:10 - 5
0.667
Season:40 - 23
0.635
Lifetime:663 - 406
0.620
question_mark.gif
49ers
Seahawks
Chiefs
Cardinals
Colts
Steelers
Bengals
Ravens
Bears
Titans
Commanders
Broncos
Cowboys
Falcons
Saints

Week:9 - 6
0.600
Season:41 - 22
0.651
Lifetime:674 - 338
0.666
Me at sams.jpg
49ers
Seahawks
Chiefs
Cardinals
Colts
Vikings
Bengals
Ravens
Bears
Jets
Commanders
Broncos
Cowboys
Falcons
Saints

Week:9 - 6
0.600
Season:38 - 25
0.603
Lifetime:478 - 289
0.623
hambone.jpg
49ers
Seahawks
Chiefs
Cardinals
Colts
Steelers
Bengals
Ravens
Bears
Titans
Commanders
Broncos
Cowboys
Patriots
Saints

Week:10 - 5
0.667
Season:42 - 21
0.667
Lifetime:557 - 306
0.645
077.JPG
49ers
Seahawks
Chiefs
Cardinals
Colts
Vikings
Bengals
Ravens
Bears
Jets
Commanders
Broncos
Cowboys
Patriots
Dolphins

Week:9 - 6
0.600
Season:42 - 21
0.667
Lifetime:477 - 282
0.628
IMG003.jpg
Rams
Seahawks
Chiefs
Cardinals
Colts
Steelers
Bengals
Ravens
Lions
Titans
Commanders
Broncos
Cowboys
Patriots
Dolphins

Week:9 - 6
0.600
Season:36 - 27
0.571
Lifetime:469 - 248
0.654
ColorTouch.jpg
Rams
Seahawks
Chiefs
Cardinals
Colts
Steelers
Bengals
Ravens
Bears
Titans
Commanders
Broncos
Cowboys
Patriots
Dolphins

Week:8 - 7
0.533
Season:35 - 26
0.574
Lifetime:341 - 206
0.623
one-piece 01.jpg
49ers
Texans
Giants
Buccaneers
Colts
Vikings
Bengals
Ravens
Bears
Titans
Raiders
Broncos
Cowboys
Falcons
Saints

Week:6 - 9
0.400
Season:27 - 36
0.429
Lifetime:149 - 126
0.542
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49ers 35 @ Rams 11

sarah.jpg
Sarah
Maybe the 49ers are terrible. This makes the Packers even more terrible than what they are and I don't want to think about that right now.
jon.jpg
Jon
Remember the Los Angeles Rams?

Steelers 27 @ Vikings 34

sarah.jpg
Sarah
IN LONDON?!?!? Never gets old.
jon.jpg
Jon
Vikings look terrible.
jeremy.jpg
Jeremy
Tuuuuuuurn out the liiiiiiights, the party's oooover.

Patriots 30 @ Falcons 23

sarah.jpg
Sarah
Whatevs.
jon.jpg
Jon
Where is all the Patriots salary going? They have Tom Brady and 52 guys off the street.

Dolphins 17 @ Saints 38

sarah.jpg
Sarah
Both are 3-0 but only one gets to stay undefeated. #MNF
jon.jpg
Jon
I'm not that comfortable with most picks this week. No clue how good or bad either of these teams is.
one-piece 01.jpgChamillitary420
09/19/2013 @ 12:46:03 AM
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I'm always gonna put my picks before everyone now
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scott.jpgScott - On your mark...get set...Terrible!
09/27/2013 @ 08:03:02 AM
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http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/9730220/minnesota-vikings-christian-ponder-matt-cassel-start

Ponder "broke his rib". Yeah, that's it, he's not getting benched. He's hurt, see, he's hurt.
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fry6beeu9.jpgJeremy - As Seen On The Internet
09/27/2013 @ 09:18:34 AM
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Starting Cassel gets us no where, and Ponder isn't the problem. Conversely if we win in London it will probably be because we fix other things, and I'm sure Cassel will get the credit. Vikings have scored 81 points. That's 7th in the league. Outside of his first carry of the season the running game has been nothing but a down waster. While it isn't exactly like there's an MVP performance hiding in the stats somewhere, Ponder must be doing something right.

The next closest 0-3 team has 67 points (Washington), and lots of those were garbage time against the Packers. The Steelers have 43 points.

The point is the defense needs to get us a win or 2 when we put up 24 or 30 on the road, or 27 at home against the Browns. (Although that game more came down to the Browns pulling every trick they had to show they were still watchable)
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Jeremy perfected this 3 times, last at 09/27/2013 9:54:45 am
scott.jpgScott - Get Up! Get outta here! Gone!
09/27/2013 @ 10:08:41 AM
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Statistically, it's hard to find exactly what Ponder is doing right. He's 21st in the league in completion percentage, 22nd in yards, 18th in yards per attempt, he's thrown the 3rd most ints, all resulting in being 30th in passer rating. Obviously when you lose 2 games on last second touchdowns when you've already scored 27 or more points it means that your defense needs to step up and you could easily be a 2-1 team, but based on Ponder's line, you could also justifiably say that they are 7th in the league in points in spite of him. Or to say it less cynically, it isn't because of Ponder that they are 7th in the league in points. Maybe he isn't the problem, but he's not exactly playing like he's the solution either.

Regarding AP being a down-waster, it you take away the first carry of the season, his avg yards per carry is more like 2.9 instead of the 4.1 that he has. What happened to the Vikings O-line?
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Scott messed with this 2 times, last at 09/27/2013 10:10:17 am
fry6beeu9.jpgJeremy - 9563 Posts
09/27/2013 @ 10:36:53 AM
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No idea, but they're one of the many "let's all stop pretending this is all Ponder" problems. Ponder has done a fair amount on the ground. The running game is crap, the offensive line is crap, the defense is crap (so it's not like it's just a matter of "got lots of chances').

I don't know where the effectiveness is hidden, and I'm not even saying he "looks" effective even if the stats don't bare it out, but he must be doing something, because those aren't 81 points from the defense and special teams.
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scott.jpgScott - 6225 Posts
09/27/2013 @ 11:13:46 AM
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The defense does have 10 takeaways, which usually means good starting field position (at least on those possessions), which could result in points that sort of are falling in your lap a little bit. But clearly, pretending that the Vikings problems would all be solved with a slightly better QB is silly. Even the Packers who have by lots of accounts the "best player in the league" (or at the very least, one of the best players, not to start some debate about some list), are 1-2.

(Although to be fair about the small sample of the first 3 games, the packers played 3 playoff teams, including 1 Super Bowl team, and the Vikings have played 3 teams that were a combined 19-29 last year. My point isn't to compare the Packers and the Vikings per se, in fact I'm pointing out the fact that I'm not comparing the two in my initial statement above by pointing to the differences in the statement that might lead one to think I'm making a comparison. I'm just stating that in the 3 game sample, the Vikings, who statistically have one of the worst QBs in the league this season are just 1 game worse than the Packers who statistically have one of the best QBs in the league this season.)

It's bad when the disclaimer is longer (and more unnecessary) than the statement you are trying to make.
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scott.jpgScott - 6225 Posts
09/27/2013 @ 11:43:04 AM
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The Vikings do have a return touchdown and a defensive touchdown, so 14 of those points are coming from the defense and special teams. The Vikings have 7 offensive touchdowns (passing or rushing), which is good for 13th in the league. Not terrible, but a better picture of offensive productivity than just points.

I took the NFL.com stats for offensive points and took only included rushing touchdowns, receiving tds, FGs, extra points, and 2 point conversions (excluded any non-offensive points). The Vikings are 12th, so at first glance they are at least above average.
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jeremy.jpgJeremy - Super Chocolate Bear
09/27/2013 @ 12:57:06 PM
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81-14 = As many points as the next closest 0-3 team, counting whatever their D/Special teams did, and again, like 20 of the Redskin's points were of the too-little-too-late variety in the Packers-Redskins game.

Also the Vikings started with 2 road divisional games, so there is that.
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Jeremy screwed with this 2 times, last at 09/27/2013 1:01:21 pm
jeremy.jpgJeremy - Pie Racist
09/27/2013 @ 01:06:43 PM
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Either way it's a moot point. Matt "people cheered when I got hurt so Brady Effing Quinn could take my spot" Cassel isn't an answer. The Vikings need to sink or swim with Ponder. If the running game picks up, which means the team cant just swarm the oline on every play, and Ponder gets half a second to pass once in a while, maybe he picks it up and the Vikings build on that.

If the answer is "ok, he's just bad" then the Vikings want to suck anyway. All going 7-9 instead of 5-11 gets you is a worse pick.

As it stands they've played poorly in all 3 games, one of which was of the "everything that could go wrong did, and at the worst time" vareity and they're still 3 differences away from a 3 and 0 team. 0-3 sucks, but if they put up this many points sucking, imagine what would happen if they ever didn't suck. Not exactly time to call it and commit to a qb in the draft again.
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Jeremy edited this at 09/27/2013 1:10:37 pm
fry6beeu9.jpgJeremy - 9563 Posts
09/29/2013 @ 03:18:56 PM
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Sarah: Maybe the 49ers are terrible. This makes the Packers even more terrible than what they are and I don't want to think about that right now."

Browns held the Bengals to 6 points today in a win as well.
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