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Lambeau ... Not an Advantage.

Article on home-field advantage in critical games.
View External Link [www.packerforum.com]
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fry6beeu9.jpgJeremy - 9543 Posts
03/30/2008 @ 01:47:48 AM
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Maybe they just suck.
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avatar2345.jpgPackOne - 1528 Posts
03/30/2008 @ 08:32:25 AM
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Thanks for your input.
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2887.gifAlex - 3619 Posts
03/31/2008 @ 02:56:15 AM
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Does this study not take into account the strength of the opponent? Cause a lot of times you're playing a better team during the playoffs than in the regular season, so that alone could explain why you'd lose more.
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vignette.bmpCarlos44ec - 2079 Posts
03/31/2008 @ 07:39:34 AM
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Playoffs?
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avatar2345.jpgPackOne - At the Dollhouse in Ft. Lauderdale.
03/31/2008 @ 09:12:14 AM
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Since it deals with home field, I would assume that the home team should have the better record/team in general for the most part. It does address some seeding effects in hockey/basketball type formats.
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jeremy.jpgJeremy - 9543 Posts
03/31/2008 @ 09:18:03 AM
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Well, the NFL in particular has the division winners who might be just good enough to come out on top of a crappy division (I'm looking at you, Green Bay circa the last few years, not counting last year) and thus get to host a Wildcard Team who might be really good, and just got stuck behind a powerhouse division winner. I'm not sure how other sports do their seeding but I wouldn't be surprised if they had a system where the best team wasn't necessarily at home either.

Though the same could be said about the Giants I'd have to imagine even the most die hard Packer Fan would admit the Packers overachieved last year. Their fortunes were bound to run out sooner or later.
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Jeremy perfected this 2 times, last at 03/31/2008 9:25:50 am
avatar2345.jpgPackOne - 1528 Posts
03/31/2008 @ 09:58:44 AM
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I think the bigger argument for the NFL comes down to how to build a team. Do you shoot for consistency through the draft, or rely on free agents with experience. I think this study makes a case that young/draft built teams are great regular season contenders, while veteran teams might just have less arousal in big time games, at home, although not consistent from year to year.
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vignette.bmpCarlos44ec - 2079 Posts
03/31/2008 @ 10:35:29 AM
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Jeremy Wrote - 03/31/2008 @ 09:18:03 AM
I'd have to imagine even the most die hard Packer Fan would admit the Packers overachieved last year. Their fortunes were bound to run out sooner or later.


I will not! I take that comment as I would a glove in my face. Prepare yourself, Sir, for a duel!

PackOne will be my second. I suggest you find one as well.
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avatar2345.jpgPackOne - Yeah, and you don't stop, 'caus its 1-8-7 on a ...
03/31/2008 @ 11:30:33 AM
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It was an issue of cohesion, not overachievement.
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jeremy.jpgJeremy - Cube Phenomenoligist
03/31/2008 @ 12:53:16 PM
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Opening week: Vikes @ Lambeau Monday Night Football. Let's hope there's no advantage after all.
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2887.gifAlex - 3619 Posts
03/31/2008 @ 12:58:12 PM
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PackOne Wrote - 03/31/2008 @ 09:12:14 AM
Since it deals with home field, I would assume that the home team should have the better record/team in general for the most part. It does address some seeding effects in hockey/basketball type formats.


Well yes, but that wasn't my point. New England gets to play Miami, New York J, and Buffalo at home during the regular season which is going to boost their regular season at home winning percentage compared to their at home playoff winning percentage when they are playing teams like Pitt, Jax, and Indy.

The fact that homefield winning percentage declines in the playoffs I think could probably be explained away entirely by comparing the regular season SOS to the playoff SOS. edit: doesn't really matter if the home team in question is "better" than the particular opponent
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Alex perfected this at 03/31/2008 12:59:10 pm
flower .jpgPackOne - 1528 Posts
03/31/2008 @ 02:01:29 PM
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I think the point it is trying to make is on arousal. Home field playoff advantage, to those trying to re-define themselves as champions, ie:young, inexperienced, non-repeat winners - perform much poorer at home in the playoffs as compared to the road. So yes, Alex I think you nailed it ... the field evens.
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